Category: TLT

20% CAGR & 7% MaxDD Since 2008 with $HYG $REM $DTD $TLT

Source: Portfolio Visualizer Dual Momentum

April 20, 2016 April 20, 2016 By charlie In , , , , Comments Off on 20% CAGR & 7% MaxDD Since 2008 with $HYG $REM $DTD $TLT

Market Glance

The 5 least correlated positive return ETFs show numerous markets cracking critical support and making new lows. S&P 500 indicators are bearish across the board. The market remains fahklempt, buyers beware.  The only positive things I see are emerging markets holding above the November lows, and Treasuries failing to make new highs, despite ominous news…

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March 4, 2009 March 4, 2009 By charlie In , , , , , , , , , , , Comments Off on Market Glance

Ratio Roundup

My indicator was down today, but not broken. One sector is in critical danger. The financial sector made a new O today, indicating an increasingly volatile and bearish environment. The buywrite/index ratio is rising (bearish), but it approaching a falling 10sma (bullish). This breakout in the HUI/GOLD is bullish for gold stocks, so I’m buying…

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December 15, 2008 December 15, 2008 By charlie In , , , , , , , , , Comments Off on Ratio Roundup

Ratios to Reason

The Buywrite Index has been crushing Buy ‘N’ Hold strategies for months. Will the BXM:SPX ratio find resistance @ the 10sma? Gold miners haven’t lost much ground to gold, which I interpret as a bullish signal. Long LSC and short commodities is one of the best strategies I can see. Up almost 20% since this…

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December 4, 2008 December 4, 2008 By charlie In , , , , , , , , Comments Off on Ratios to Reason

Fuck the Fucking Fuckers

My Internet was down all day, no trading, no shorting, nothing. I swear there is a conspiracy afoot to prevent me from trading on these awesome days. I missed the Geithner rally a few weeks back under the same circumstances. Anyhow, the markets look ready to churn lower now that volume has come back in….

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December 1, 2008 December 1, 2008 By charlie In , , , , Comments Off on Fuck the Fucking Fuckers

War Trade?

A glance at TLT & JNK reveal the market is running to the “safety” of Treasuries. Be patriotic, short junk bonds, buy Treasury debt, and pay capital gains. As a incredibly paranoid and admittedly stoned lover of arcane conspiracies, I’m beginning to interpret the rise in Treasuries as an increase in the premium to hedge…

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November 19, 2008 November 19, 2008 By charlie In , Comments Off on War Trade?

Doubling Up On Gold

Deutsche Bank is offering leveraged and inverse Gold ETN’s DGP (+2x), DZZ (-2x), DGX (-1x). This is very exciting, but also quite scary. Looking at DB in the charts gives me little faith in the banks debt, but so long as the market believes in these awesome debt instruments, I will certainly go along for…

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March 2, 2008 March 2, 2008 By charlie In , , , Comments Off on Doubling Up On Gold