Category: Uncategorized

Buy Energy & Sell Finance

A theme from the first half of 2008 is reemerging, and it warrants notice.How far can the spread between DIG and UYG get?


Dollar Dollar Bills Ya’ll

Perhaps the dollar is finding its strength in the massive liquidations and margin calls… perhaps market participants think that the numbers coming out of the foreign markets are more bogus than our own… perhaps the markets are pricing in the implicit military threat of not accepting dollars. I’ve heard comparisons of the US to the…


Follow Dead Cats with Moon Shoes

The market looks poised to rocket up after an explosive weekend of *gasp* nothing. If the speed of the recent decline is any indicator, this is setting up to be one of the sharpest bear rallies in history. TBT for a bet on rising Treasury yields as the TED spread narrows.


Hunch

DGP and SKF will be a nice pair if the Friday reports are poop…


Complacent VIX

We’re back to overbought, “everything is OK” levels. I sold my home builders and semiconductors this afternoon. I’m looking for another gap up and then a long steady fade all day. SKF is looking for a bounce as the volume spiked. Precious metals puked another couple points, but I think we’re 2/3’s of the way…


A New Theme

Home builders, Semiconductors, Biotechnology, Water and Natural Gas… a strange assortment of market leaders for the day.ITB is a home builders index and like its better known brother XHB, it has taken a beating over the last two years, down nearly 60%. After finding a low ~13.50 on January 9th, ITB has shown remarkable strength,…


Happy Days Are Here Again

DGP + SKF = Win. Buy Yen, sell real estate, here we go again… “Normal” bear market conditions have returned with dramatic under performance in banks and real estate. Gold and silver continue to rally, and the dollar is beginning to slide to more all time lows. I would like to thank the bulls for…


Wild Week

I’ve been so overly medicated these past few days I haven’t had the patience to write more than two sentences. All I can do is come up with half-brained t-shirt ideas like “Liquidity Crisis” underneath an empty beer mug. I’m smoking more of everything and doing less of anything, and damn it feels good to…


The Dollar Collapse

Booooyaaaaahhhh! I think I’m gonna quit trading equities and move into Forex (just a thought)… Sometime last week I moved everything into Yen. This has turned out to be a nothing short of perfect as the dollar fell to new lows Sunday evening. I sold my Yen as it regained strength, but then quickly jumped…


A Good Day To Wake Up Late

Having missed the market open by about an hour, I didn’t have to do any guess work as to the markets direction. SMN (double short basic materials) is up 6.97%, UYG (double long financials) down 4.85%, which is roughly a 2% gain on a -1.5% day. Thus, the hedge trade worked, but there was no…