Call me a complacent bear, but I think the market has an ass kicking in store for the bulls. Yes, that’s a new low for the banking index. Yes, there may be a major pop due to government shenanigans. Yes, it will probably be a fantastic shorting opportunity. Stocks on the NYSE are increasingly volatile…
A few ratios to discern the state of the market. My NASDAQ indicator printed a new X today despite today’s fall. Lower volatility is bullish. The BXM:SPX ratio is banging against the 10sma again, hopefully it will act as resistance and the spread will turn around (bullish). The continuing fall in Treasury yields is quite…
The market continues to rally as the Fed lowers key lending rates. Rate cuts are having a negative effect on US bonds relative to foreign ones. Up volume significantly outweighed down volume, continuing the bullish theme. More stocks are trading above their 50dma on lower volatility. New highs are becoming more prevalent as this index…
Even with today’s negative action, my indicator was positive. We’re at the levels that preceded the last down leg. Will it be different this time? Short treasuries and short gold is breaking down, so people are still shunning risk. The yield on the 30 year looks ready to make new lows. I’ve been too busy…