The USD has fallen over 10% since March, stirring up inflationistas and fueling the bull market. Since the beginning of May, the dollar has traded in a downtrend below a descending lower Bollinger band, forming a descending triple bottom on July 20th. While it seems unlikely that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates due…
There is evidence of new trends emerging in the market. US bonds look ready to head lower relative to their foreign counterparts. Will another cycle of credit shock prevent this trend? Although the SPX indicator remains bullish, the NASDAQ is now bearish for the first time since the end of November. This implies an environment…
Hooray, an up day! Here are some things to consider. My bullish SPX indicator lives to see another day, perhaps it’ll make a new X by the week’s end. FINALLY, the BXM/SPX spread is heading lower, and that is a sign of more aggressive risk taking which is good for equities. Due to the overbought…
On final chart post for this weekend. My NASDAQ indicator keeps printing X’s signaling lower volatility and more bullish stocks. The intervention I was looking for here is underway. Don’t fight the BOJ until you see another X printed. Gold and precious metals like silver continue to put in nice uptrend work. This remains the…
It has been a wild week thus far, here are some internals. Banks are back into a bullish position, goddamn whiplash got me. There was a new X made in my primary market indicator, which is a great sign for equities. Risks are still high, but if the dollar continues to fall, this should continue…
I hope to God that the chart below is a misprint and not a premonition. If bonds make a move like that, this crisis is going to take a turn for the worst. Though we closed positive Friday, my indicator fell, suggesting a bearish divergence in an uptrend. Buy on the dip is still in…
This market continues to exhibit an upward bias, so keep buying the dip. Risks remain high. The markets haven’t looked this bullish and stable since Obama was elected. The spread between Buywrite and Buy ‘N’ Hold indexes made a new low and violated the lower Bollinger Band, signaling a potential trend change. The falling spread…
My Internet was down all day, no trading, no shorting, nothing. I swear there is a conspiracy afoot to prevent me from trading on these awesome days. I missed the Geithner rally a few weeks back under the same circumstances. Anyhow, the markets look ready to churn lower now that volume has come back in….
Any one have thoughts on the following divergence? The relatively new Dollar Bullish ETF UUP is indicating a new downtrend. On the other hand, the $USD, a index with a bit more trading history, seems to be at the lower range of an uptrend. Since they share a 1:1 correlation, this aberration might be explained…
After losing ~4% of my equity in various long plays, I called it quits on Monday after the QQQQ’s breached 30.50 and went back into cash, the dollar (UUP) and some shorts. This market felt too heavy to rally, and time is working against it as GS and MS sag lower and lower, potentially sparking…