The NASDAQ McClellan Oscillator, a short term breadth indicator, began a downtrend on Wed. Whether this turns into a sustained move lower remains to be seen, but it is an early warning sign that you should be aware of. To my dismay, I was stopped out of one of my favorite leading stocks, STEC. Weakness…
The market continues to churn in a wide range, but there are some signs of change. Hedged trading has begun under performing the underlying index, signaling short term bullishness. Volatility is falling, but remains high, so stay cautious. Tuesdays selling may be a capitulation point considering the ratio of down/up volume. Up/down volume on Wednesday…
A new guy moves to the White House every eight years. I think the real news is here; today was the biggest Dow drop on inauguration in history. Volatility is screaming upwards, and clearly fewer stocks are in bullish formations. The tape still warrants selling the rips, and I suspect we’re in for bigger dips….
Not much action in the equities market this week. According to my indicator, the SPX has managed to stay bullish, but it is very close to resuming a downtrend. The buywrite/index spread is rising (bearish), but it is in a resistance area, and any turn around would be bullish. The NAMO has turned positive,…
Today wasn’t quite enough to put the nail in the bulls’ coffin, but it isn’t getting any prettier. My SPX index is clinging to a bullish signal by a few points. The NAMO is signaling a downtrend, but we remain in bullish territory. Banks look ready to break down and test their lows. MLP’s continue…
This market continues to exhibit an upward bias, so keep buying the dip. Risks remain high. The markets haven’t looked this bullish and stable since Obama was elected. The spread between Buywrite and Buy ‘N’ Hold indexes made a new low and violated the lower Bollinger Band, signaling a potential trend change. The falling spread…
A few market signs for the lost. The following precipitous graph is an example of the impact the financial crisis is having on the real economy. The BDI indicates how much shippers get paid for carrying freight. Due to the unwillingness of banks to write letters of credit for merchandise, shipping is mired in a…